Estimating Aircraft Turbine Engine Costs

Item

Title
Estimating Aircraft Turbine Engine Costs
Description
This memorandum presents equations for estimating development and production costs of turbojet and turbofan engines. Thrust is found to be the best single variable for estimating both development and production cost, but using thrust alone the differences between actual and estimated costs are unacceptably large. For development, these differences are greatly reduced by incorporating a second explanatory variable--either speed, absolute altitude, or thrust-to-airflow ratio. No combination of engine characteristics produces an acceptable estimating relationship for production cost when all engines are treated as a single class. When the sample is stratified into three classes on the basis of design requirements, it appears that useful estimating relationships are obtained for each class. A limitation on this approach is that the next generation of engines may compose a fourth class for which no estimating relationship can be derived empirically. For such engines, extrapolation from the curves and data shown here will be necessary
Creator
Large, J. P.
Publisher
Santa Monica, CA : The RAND Corporation
Date
1970
Format
ix, 21 pages : ill. ; 28 cm.
Type
report
Date Issued
1970-09
Corporate Author
The RAND Coporation
Report Number
RM-6384/1-PR
AD Number
AD738026
Contract
F44620-67-C-0045
NTRL Accession Number
AD738026
Distribution Conflict
No
Access Rights
THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE AND SALE; ITS DISTRIBUTION IS UNLIMITED.
Photo Quality
Not Needed
Distribution Classification
1
DTIC Record Exists
Yes
Report Availability
Full text available by request
Subject
Turbojet Engines -- Costs
Equations
Thrust
Velocity
Altitude
Identifier
AD0738026
AD0738026
Abstract
This memorandum presents equations for estimating development and production costs of turbojet and turbofan engines. Thrust is found to be the best single variable for estimating both development and production cost, but using thrust alone the differences between actual and estimated costs are unacceptably large. For development, these differences are greatly reduced by incorporating a second explanatory variable--either speed, absolute altitude, or thrust-to-airflow ratio. No combination of engine characteristics produces an acceptable estimating relationship for production cost when all engines are treated as a single class. When the sample is stratified into three classes on the basis of design requirements, it appears that useful estimating relationships are obtained for each class. A limitation on this approach is that the next generation of engines may compose a fourth class for which no estimating relationship can be derived empirically. For such engines, extrapolation from the curves and data shown here will be necessary.
Index Abstract
Contrails and DTIC truncated